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Novavax, Inc.

NVAX

Last
$12.75
Day
+15.8%
1y
+28.2%
5y
-93.9%
52w
-17.7%
SPY YTD
+13.3%
XLV
+8.1%
Earnings
2026-11-0526d
EMA 21
10.63
EMA 50
9.92
EMA 200
9.03
20d high
-17.7%
5y high
-95.3%
5y range
3th
Website · 749 employees · United States

Positions held

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Score
44
Hold
swing
Signal
Strong Buy
Target
$13.70
Stop
$9.66
Stop distance
24.2%
Target vs last
+7.5%

Bull / bear case

Site-generated summary from fundamentals, news, and score — not investment advice. As of 2026-10-08.

Bull case
  • Novavax is positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for innovative vaccines in the biotechnology sector, particularly as global health challenges continue to evolve.
  • In 2025, Novavax reported a revenue of $1.12 billion, with a significant operating margin of 49.0%.
  • The company's stock has a target mean price of $14.00, indicating potential upside from current levels.
Bear case
  • Novavax faces intense competition in the biotechnology space, which may impact its market share and pricing power.
  • In the most recent quarter, revenue declined by 59% compared to the prior quarter, falling from $140 million to $57 million.
  • The company reported an operating margin of -96.8% in Q2 2026, reflecting ongoing financial challenges.

Fundamentals

Market cap$1.82BEnterprise value$1.39BTrailing P/E—Forward P/E-17.93
PEG1.32Price / book-9.52Beta2.44Dividend yield0.00%
Revenue growth-76.3%Earnings growth—Gross margin-2.6%Operating margin-89.6%
Profit margin-59.9%ROE—ROA-6.5%Debt / equity—
Current ratio2.33Free cash flow$153.39MAnalyst recommendationbuyMean target$14.00
52w high$13.3952w low$6.20

Quarterly

2026-Q22026-Q12025-Q42025-Q32025-Q22025-Q1
Revenue$56.7M$140M$147M$70.4M$239M—
Op margin-96.8%-11.1%10.2%-115.0%42.2%—
Net income-$53.4M-$9.5M$17.5M-$202M$107M—
Gross margin74.9%78.0%85.0%69.5%93.6%—
Gross profit$42.5M$109M$125M$48.9M$224M—
Operating income-$54.9M-$15.4M$15.0M-$81.0M$101M—
  • Revenue -59% vs prior quarter ($57M vs $140M).
  • Gross margin 74.9% (was 78% prior quarter).
  • Operating margin compressed to -96.8%.

Yearly (6y)

20252024202320222021
Revenue$1.1B$682M$556M$1.6B—
Op margin49.0%-36.5%-101.8%-40.3%—
Net income$440M-$187M-$545M-$658M—
Gross margin93.5%70.3%38.2%43.5%—
Gross profit$1.1B$479M$213M$696M—
Operating income$551M-$249M-$567M-$645M—
Headline scan

No flags

• No distress or material-risk keywords in recent headlines (keyword scan only — not a guarantee).

News

NVAX · daily+1.7% over 13 sessions
Close EMA21 EMA50 EMA200
9.9910.8811.7712.6613.552026-092026-092026-092026-092026-102026-102026-10
Quarterly · revenue, net income, margins
Revenue Net income Gross margin Op margin
-$202M-$92M$18M$129M$239M-115%-11%94%2025-Q22025-Q32025-Q42026-Q12026-Q2