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Geo Group Inc (The) REIT

GEO

Last
$31.13
Day
+0.5%
1y
+69.6%
5y
+315.0%
52w
-6.7%
SPY YTD
+13.3%
XLI
+6.6%
Earnings
2026-11-0526d
EMA 21
31.01
EMA 50
30.71
EMA 200
25.91
20d high
-6.7%
5y high
-15.1%
5y range
82th
Website · 18,000 employees · United States

Positions held

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Score
18
Hold
swing
Signal
Buy
Target
$35.75
Stop
$28.57
Stop distance
8.2%
Target vs last
+14.8%

Bull / bear case

Site-generated summary from fundamentals, news, and score — not investment advice. As of 2026-10-08.

Bull case
  • Geo Group operates in the security and protection services industry, which is experiencing increased demand due to rising concerns about safety and security.
  • Revenue increased by 4% compared to the prior quarter, reaching $732 million.
  • Operating margin expanded to 13.9%, indicating improved efficiency.
Bear case
  • The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 106.105, suggesting high leverage and potential financial risk.
  • Despite revenue growth, the profit margin is relatively low at 10.31%, which may limit profitability.
  • The stock has a trailing P/E ratio of 14.06, which could indicate that it is overvalued compared to industry peers.

Fundamentals

Market cap$4.07BEnterprise value$5.55BTrailing P/E14.54Forward P/E18.03
PEG1.35Price / book2.65Beta0.77Dividend yield0.00%
Revenue growth15.1%Earnings growth71.4%Gross margin26.0%Operating margin13.9%
Profit margin10.3%ROE20.1%ROA6.0%Debt / equity1.06
Current ratio1.65Free cash flow-$3.63MAnalyst recommendationstrong_buyMean target$39.00
52w high$33.1752w low$12.51

Quarterly

2026-Q22026-Q12025-Q42025-Q32025-Q22025-Q1
Revenue$732M$705M$708M$682M$636M—
Op margin13.9%12.7%11.8%11.5%11.3%—
Net income$47.5M$38.3M$31.8M$174M$29.1M—
Gross margin——————
Gross profit——————
Operating income$102M$89.3M$83.8M$78.3M$72.0M—
  • Revenue +4% vs prior quarter ($732M vs $705M).
  • Operating margin expanded to 13.9%.

Yearly (6y)

20252024202320222021
Revenue$2.6B$2.4B$2.4B$2.4B—
Op margin11.2%12.8%14.6%16.2%—
Net income$254M$32.0M$107M$172M—
Gross margin——27.7%30.0%—
Gross profit——$669M$714M$628M
Operating income$295M$310M$352M$384M—
Headline scan

No flags

• No distress or material-risk keywords in recent headlines (keyword scan only — not a guarantee).

News

GEO · daily+4.1% over 13 sessions
Close EMA21 EMA50 EMA200
28.9930.0831.1832.2733.372026-092026-092026-092026-092026-102026-102026-10
Quarterly · revenue, net income, margins
Revenue Net income Gross margin Op margin
$0M$183M$366M$549M$732M0%7%14%2025-Q22025-Q32025-Q42026-Q12026-Q2